Rapid Read: Geopolitical Must-Knows for Today (29 June 2025)
This is my news scan from 28 June 2025 at 0829 Eastern Time until 29 June 2025 at 0945 Eastern Time
Uncertainty Looms Over Iran's Nuclear Stockpiles
https://oilprice.com/Geopolitics/International/Uncertainty-Looms-Over-Irans-Nuclear-Stockpiles.html
U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted Iran's key nuclear facilities, including Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, aiming to disrupt its nuclear program, which Iran claims is for peaceful purposes. Iran possesses approximately 8,400 kilograms of enriched uranium, mostly at low levels suitable for power plants, but the exact status of its stockpile remains unclear. Satellite imagery suggests Iran may have moved enriched uranium from facilities like Fordow before the strikes, raising concerns about hidden stockpiles. The effectiveness of the strikes is debated, with U.S. officials claiming significant damage, while intelligence reports suggest only a temporary setback to Iran's nuclear ambitions.
With Iran, President Trump Faces His Neocon Moment
https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/5373314-trump-neoconservative-vision-iran/
President Trump's decision to join Israel in striking Iran's nuclear facilities marks a shift from his isolationist stance, aligning him with neoconservative policies favoring military intervention. This move has sparked division among his supporters, with figures like Steve Bannon urging caution to avoid broader conflict. Polls indicate strong bipartisan concern about Iran’s nuclear ambitions, but public support for military action is less certain, especially given past U.S. missteps in Iraq. The article suggests Trump must navigate these tensions carefully to avoid entangling the U.S. in a prolonged regional war.
Majority of Americans Back Sanctions on Russia, Allies That Purchase Oil: Survey
https://thehill.com/policy/international/5375130-russian-sanctions-oil-ukraine-survey/
A survey reveals that most Americans support sanctions on Russia and its allies that purchase Russian oil, reflecting strong public backing for measures to counter Russian aggression in Ukraine. The poll highlights a bipartisan consensus on the need to economically pressure Russia, particularly in response to its ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Concerns about global energy markets are noted, as sanctions could impact oil prices and supply chains. The findings suggest Americans view these sanctions as a critical tool to limit Russia’s influence without direct military engagement.
California’s Gasoline Crisis Was Manufactured—Now They’re Pretending to Fix It
California’s recent gasoline price spikes are attributed to deliberate market manipulations rather than natural supply shortages, according to industry analysts. The article argues that state policies and refinery practices exacerbated the crisis, creating artificial scarcity to drive up prices. Lawmakers and regulators are now proposing reforms to address the issue, but critics view these efforts as superficial attempts to deflect blame. The situation underscores ongoing tensions between California’s environmental regulations and its energy market stability.
The Decline of Oil Power in Middle East Geopolitics
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Decline-of-Oil-Power-in-Middle-East-Geopolitics.html
The influence of oil as a geopolitical tool in the Middle East is waning due to global shifts toward renewable energy and changing economic dynamics. Traditional oil-producing nations are losing leverage as countries like the U.S. increase domestic production and alternative energy sources gain traction. The article highlights how this decline affects regional power structures, with nations like Iran facing reduced economic clout amid sanctions and military pressures. Despite this trend, oil remains a critical factor in global markets, particularly with ongoing tensions involving Iran and major oil routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Updated Senate Bill Slashes Wind and Solar Incentives – and Adds a New Tax
https://thehill.com/homenews/5375211-senate-bill-wind-solar-incentives-tax/
A revised U.S. Senate bill proposes significant cuts to tax incentives for wind and solar energy projects, raising concerns among renewable energy advocates. The legislation introduces a new tax that could further hinder the growth of clean energy initiatives, prioritizing fiscal adjustments over environmental goals. Supporters argue the changes are necessary to balance the budget, while critics warn of setbacks to the U.S.’s climate commitments. The bill’s passage remains uncertain, with debates intensifying over its long-term impact on the energy sector.
Guatemala’s President Denies New Asylum Deal with US
https://apnews.com/article/guatemala-arevalo-noem-us-asylum-b1e8336eef14116d2cd2f77f4ee3047e
Guatemala’s President Bernardo Arévalo has denied claims of a new asylum agreement with the United States, refuting reports that his country would accept migrants under a third-country processing deal. The statement comes amid U.S. efforts to manage migration flows by outsourcing asylum processing to regional partners. Arévalo emphasized Guatemala’s focus on addressing internal challenges, including poverty and violence, which drive migration. The denial highlights ongoing tensions in U.S.-Guatemala relations over migration policy and regional cooperation.
Driven to Starvation, Sudanese People Eat Weeds and Plants to Survive as War Rages
The ongoing civil war in Sudan has driven millions to extreme hunger, with many resorting to eating weeds and plants to survive in regions like South Kordofan and Darfur. The conflict has disrupted food supply chains and blocked humanitarian aid, exacerbating famine conditions. Local communities face skyrocketing food prices and limited access to arable land due to violence. International aid organizations are struggling to deliver assistance amid security risks and logistical challenges.
Togo Rocked by Protests Over Reforms That Could Extend President Gnassingbé’s Rule
https://apnews.com/article/togo-protest-gnassingbe-ad20d3d5c2e3b0fa767210cdb70fca2d
Protests have erupted in Togo against constitutional reforms that could extend President Faure Gnassingbé’s decades-long rule by altering term limits. Demonstrators, primarily opposition supporters, view the changes as a move to entrench Gnassingbé’s power, sparking clashes with security forces. The reforms include shifting to a parliamentary system, which critics argue could allow Gnassingbé to remain in power indefinitely. The unrest underscores growing public frustration with Togo’s long-standing political dynasty and limited democratic freedoms.
Uganda’s President Seeks a Seventh Term That Would Bring Him Closer to 5 Decades in Power
Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni, in power since 1986, is seeking a seventh term in the 2026 election, potentially extending his rule to nearly five decades. Critics accuse Museveni of suppressing opposition and manipulating electoral processes to maintain his grip on power. The announcement has sparked concerns about democratic backsliding, with opposition leaders calling for reforms to ensure fair elections. Museveni’s long tenure continues to polarize Uganda, with supporters praising his stability and detractors decrying authoritarianism.
Iranian Kurdish Dissidents Abroad Watch for Signs of Tehran Vulnerability After War with Israel
https://apnews.com/article/iraq-iran-kurdish-dissidents-israel-war-2ce4976aafbf225d8955b24c3bc31d42
Iranian Kurdish dissidents in Iraq are closely monitoring Iran’s political and military weaknesses following its recent conflict with Israel and U.S. strikes on its nuclear facilities. The war has fueled hopes among dissidents that Tehran’s regime may be vulnerable to internal dissent or external pressure. However, Iran’s security forces remain robust, posing risks to Kurdish activists who face surveillance and targeted attacks. The dissidents are cautiously optimistic but wary of escalating regional tensions impacting their cause.
Protesters Rally in Bangkok to Demand Thai Prime Minister’s Resignation Over Leaked Cambodia Call
Thousands of protesters in Bangkok are demanding the resignation of Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra after a leaked phone call revealed alleged discussions with Cambodia’s Hun Sen on sensitive bilateral issues. The leak has fueled accusations of diplomatic mismanagement and compromised national interests, intensifying public discontent. Protesters, including opposition groups, are calling for transparency and accountability, while Paetongtarn’s government denies wrongdoing. The controversy threatens to destabilize Thailand’s fragile political landscape amid ongoing economic challenges.
Serbian Riot Police Fire Tear Gas at Anti-Government Protesters Demanding an Early Election
https://apnews.com/article/serbia-protest-students-elections-vucic-5b3825302a59991c4ad4046c80e7ce45
Serbian riot police used tear gas to disperse anti-government protesters in Belgrade who are demanding early elections due to dissatisfaction with President Aleksandar Vučić’s administration. The protests, led largely by students, stem from allegations of electoral fraud and government corruption. Demonstrators are calling for democratic reforms and greater transparency in Serbia’s political system. The violent response has heightened tensions, raising fears of further unrest in the Balkan nation.
Oslo Police Announce Rape and Sexual Assault Charges Against Son of Norwegian Crown Princess
Oslo police have charged Marius Borg Høiby, the son of Norway’s Crown Princess Mette-Marit, with rape and sexual assault, marking a significant scandal for the royal family. The allegations involve multiple incidents, with authorities stating that investigations are ongoing. Høiby, who is not in line for the throne, has faced prior legal issues, adding to public scrutiny of the case. The charges have sparked widespread debate in Norway about privilege, accountability, and the monarchy’s public image.
Zelenskyy Approves Plans on Special Tribunal to Prosecute Russian Leaders Over Ukraine
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-russia-tribunal-zelenskyy-eaa224303d17a52e73c954b6ce612aae
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has approved plans to establish a special tribunal to prosecute Russian leaders for war crimes committed during the invasion of Ukraine. The tribunal aims to hold high-ranking Russian officials accountable for atrocities, including attacks on civilians and infrastructure. Zelenskyy’s move reflects Ukraine’s push for international justice amid ongoing Russian aggression. The plan faces challenges, including securing global support and navigating complex legal frameworks.
Russia and Ukraine Trade Long-Range Drone Attacks as Putin Says Moscow Is Ready for New Peace Talks
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-drones-8bc387e15ef93e33d2fda9dec920a0d2
Russia and Ukraine have intensified long-range drone attacks, targeting military and infrastructure sites as the war continues with no immediate end in sight. Russian President Vladimir Putin has expressed openness to new peace talks, though previous negotiations have failed to yield lasting results. Both sides report significant damage from drone strikes, with Ukraine focusing on Russian energy facilities and Russia targeting Ukrainian military positions. The escalation underscores the ongoing challenge of achieving a diplomatic resolution amid mutual distrust.
Hundreds of Thousands Mourn Top Iranian Military Commanders and Scientists Killed in Israeli Strikes
https://apnews.com/article/israel-iran-war-nuclear-06-28-2025-f53ad5751d7427deab42111e1ca7751d
Hundreds of thousands of Iranians mourned military commanders and scientists killed in Israeli strikes on June 28, 2025, targeting nuclear facilities and personnel. The attacks, supported by the U.S., have heightened tensions, with Iran vowing retaliation despite a fragile ceasefire. Public grief has fueled nationalistic sentiment, strengthening domestic support for Iran’s leadership amid external pressures. The loss of key figures could impact Iran’s military and nuclear capabilities, though the extent remains uncertain.
Armenia Arrests Another Top Cleric Over an Alleged Coup Plot
Armenian authorities have arrested a senior cleric accused of involvement in a coup plot against Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government. The arrest is part of a broader crackdown on opposition figures and religious leaders perceived as challenging state authority. The alleged plot reflects deepening political divisions in Armenia, exacerbated by recent regional conflicts and economic struggles. The move has sparked protests, with critics accusing Pashinyan of suppressing dissent to consolidate power.
Thousands Protest Bulgaria’s Euro Adoption and Call for a Referendum
https://apnews.com/article/bulgaria-euro-protest-nationalists-eb9a054f062b21bad04a802caf467407
Thousands of Bulgarians, led by nationalist groups, protested the country’s planned adoption of the euro, demanding a referendum on the currency change. Critics argue that adopting the euro could harm Bulgaria’s economy, citing potential price increases and loss of monetary sovereignty. Supporters of the transition, including the government, emphasize the benefits of deeper EU integration and economic stability. The protests highlight growing public skepticism about EU policies and Bulgaria’s economic future.
Tesla Says It Made Its First Driverless Delivery of a New Car to a Customer
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/28/tesla-first-driverless-delivery-new-car-to-customer.html
Tesla announced its first driverless delivery of a new car to a customer, marking a milestone in its autonomous vehicle technology development. The delivery, executed using Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, showcases the company’s push toward fully autonomous transportation. Critics question the safety and reliability of the technology, citing regulatory hurdles and past incidents. Tesla’s achievement could reshape the automotive industry, though widespread adoption of driverless deliveries remains uncertain.
Why America’s Green Hydrogen Dreams Are Stalling
The U.S. green hydrogen sector is facing setbacks due to high production costs, insufficient infrastructure, and limited market demand. Government incentives have fallen short of expectations, with regulatory uncertainties deterring private investment. Technological challenges, such as inefficiencies in electrolysis, further hinder progress toward widespread adoption. The article suggests that without significant policy reforms and cost reductions, green hydrogen’s role in America’s clean energy future remains limited.
Why Regime Change in Iran Could Be a Mistake
https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2025/06/28/why-regime-change-in-iran-could-be-a-mistake/
The article argues that pursuing regime change in Iran could destabilize the region, drawing parallels to the chaotic outcomes in Iraq and Libya. Iran’s strong national identity and military resilience make external efforts to topple its government risky and likely to backfire. The piece advocates for diplomatic engagement over military intervention, citing the potential for economic sanctions relief to weaken hardline factions. A forced regime change could strengthen Iran’s resolve and fuel anti-Western sentiment, complicating global security.
Iran Says It Doubts Truce Will Hold, Warns Against New Strikes
Iran has expressed skepticism about the sustainability of the recent ceasefire with Israel and the U.S., warning that new strikes could provoke severe retaliation. The country’s leadership cites the significant damage from U.S. and Israeli attacks on its nuclear facilities as a reason for heightened distrust. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has signaled readiness to escalate if provoked, while also asserting Iran’s resilience. The fragile truce faces challenges as both sides navigate the risk of renewed conflict amid ongoing diplomatic tensions.
Chile Votes in Primary Thrown Open by Rising Communist Candidate
Chile’s primary elections are underway, with a rising communist candidate shaking up the political landscape and challenging traditional parties. The candidate’s popularity reflects growing public frustration with economic inequality and establishment politics. The outcome of the primaries could reshape Chile’s political direction ahead of the general election. Voters are grappling with polarized choices, balancing progressive demands with concerns about economic stability.
Disclaimer:
The headlines presented here are taken directly from the referenced articles and do not reflect any personal value judgment or opinion. They are generally presented chronologically based upon the publication time. I make no warranty as to the accuracy, completeness, or truthfulness of the content of these articles. It must be noted that the articles presented here are presented to develop thought and are not necessarily the thoughts of GeopoliticsUnplugged.com They are presented as interesting thought provoking discussion points. All news and information should be carefully scrutinized, considering the credibility of the source, the facts presented, and the strength of the supporting evidence. Readers are encouraged to form their own conclusions through critical analysis.